Trevor Tracker: Week 14 Edition

Hello again, and congratulations to anyone who refused to sell any of their imaginary stock in Trevor Lawrence.

The former No. 1 overall pick is arguably playing the best football of his NFL career.

Let's take a look at Lawrence's Week 14 performance through the lens of some passing splits.

Data included in charts courtesy of PFF. See bottom of article for a glossary.

• That's a lotta green!
• Sunday was the second-best game of Lawrence's career in terms of PFF grade (Week 14, 2022 @TEN) and the best in terms of big-time throw rate. By that metric, it was the ninth-best performance of any quarterback this season (min. 30 dropbacks).
• Sunday was his second straight game with a 100+ passer rating and 0 turnover-worthy plays.
• According to Jaguars PR, Lawrence has notched a passer rating north of 100 in six of eight career games against the Colts.

• On screen attempts, Lawrence completed 3 of 4 passes (1 drop) for 21 yards and no first downs.
• On play action attempts, he completed 4 of 8 passes (1 drop) for 27 yards and 2 first downs. He had an elite 92.5 PFF grade and a bonkers 18.2% big-time throw rate on such plays, each the second-best mark of the week behind Matthew Stafford.

This incompletion to Brian Thomas Jr. was a good throw; Thomas could've done a better job of working back to the football.

• A 66.7% big-time throw rate on deep passes seems crazy high, but then again, the majority of throws charted as such are likely deep passes.
• That said, Lawrence's 97.6 PFF grade on deep passes ranked third on the week behind Stafford and Aaron Rodgers.

• He and Thomas were on another level on Sunday.

• Over the past month, Lawrence ranks fourth with a 97.5 PFF grade on deep passes. He also leads the NFL in deep completions across the past five weeks.

• On intermediate passes on Sunday, Lawrence had the fifth-highest PFF grade of the week.
• This touchdown was well designed, and Jakobi Meyers ran a great route, but it was nice to see the touch Lawrence delivered on the pass.

• Lawrence had the third-highest PFF grade under pressure and picked up the fourth-most first downs against the blitz (7) in Week 14.
• His marquee throw came against a zone blitz with an unblocked pressure.

• This dot to Tim Patrick with a defender in his face was perhaps Lawrence's most underrated throw of the day.

• Lawrence let it rip on Sunday, whether he got the ball out quickly or not.
• His 9.4 average depth of throw on passes thrown in under 2.5 seconds was easily the highest number of the week. This is Lawrence's superpower (as I said before Sunday): the ability to get the ball out quickly without sacrificing downfield aggressiveness.

• The only quarterback with a lower TTT and a higher ADOT than Lawrence in 2022 (his best career season to date) was Tua Tagovailoa, who was throwing to the NFL's fastest receiver duo in Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle.

• And when Lawrence wasn't getting the ball out quickly on Sunday, he stayed calm and collected.

• I can't wait to watch this passing offense with Travis Hunter, Brian Thomas Jr., Jakobi Meyers (assuming he re-signs), and Brenton Strange all healthy next year. For now, Lawrence has found a groove in his surrounding environment.
• "He has been throwing it good, I think, for especially the last four weeks," Coen said Wednesday. "It's not anything necessarily that's changed about anything that we've done with him, I think he's just starting to feel more and more comfortable within the system and within the guys that he's playing with."

Thanks for reading! Check back soon for more Jaguars analysis.

Stats Glossary

• DB% = Dropback Rate – for the given passing split
• ADJ% = Adjusted Completion Percentage – "the % of aimed passes thrown on target (completions + drops / aimed)"
• TTT = Time To Throw – a high TTT might suggest the passer is hunting for big plays; a low TTT might suggest the passer is checking down quickly)
• ADOT = Average Depth of Target – a high ADOT might suggest the passer is hunting for big plays; a low ADOT might suggest the passer is checking down quickly
• RTG = NFL Passer Rating – (Completion % + Yds/Att + TD Rate + INT Rate)/6] x 100
• PFF = Overall PFF Grade – "each player is given a grade of -2 to +2 in 0.5 increments on a given play with 0 generally being the average or 'expected' grade ... the plus-minus grades are then converted to a 0-100 scale at the game and season level"
• BTT% = Big Time Throw Rate – "a pass with excellent ball location and timing, generally thrown further down the field and/or into a tighter window"
• TWP% = Turnover Worthy Play Rate – "a pass that has a high percentage chance to be intercepted or a poor job of taking care of the ball and fumbling"