3 Numbers to Know before Jaguars vs Texans in Week 3

This may be the most emotional game of the season.

The matchup between the 1-1 Jaguars and the 0-2 Texans could have significant ramifications in terms of divisional hierarchy. More notably, it'll be the first meeting between these teams since Azeez Al-Shaair concussed Trevor Lawrence on a late hit.

Here are 3 Numbers to Know ahead of Liam Coen's biggest test to date.

83.3%

That's Jacksonville's pass rate on plays within the opponent's 10-yard line this season.

Only Kansas City (87.5%) throws at a higher clip in goal-to-go situations, and they have an all-world duo at quarterback/play-designer. There are just three other teams with a pass rate north of 70% on such plays.

Of course, we are dealing with small sample sizes. The Jaguars' pass rate should naturally regress. Last year, only two teams finished with a goal-to-go pass rate above 60% with Coen's Buccaneers ranking seventh at 54.7%.

The offense figures to establish the run in general this week, considering Jacksonville leads the league with 170 rushing yards per game and the weak point of Houston's defense is its interior. Beyond the on-paper advantage, Coen will want to adjust after getting away from the rushing attack in Week 2. "We were moving it pretty good in the run game," he said Monday. "Definitely could have got a couple runs called later on.”

It's fair to assume the Jaguars will be run-oriented in Week 3. But will that also apply inside of the Texans' 10-yard line?

Houston has defended two goal-to-go situations this year. On the first, Rams RB Kyren Williams punched in a 1-yard score on 4th down. On the other, Bucs RB Rachaad White won the game from 2 yards out.

Meanwhile, Jacksonville's only RB carry in that area of the field this season was a 2-yarder by Travis Etienne from the 10-yard line. Brian Thomas Jr. scored an end-around from 9 yards out, and Trevor Lawrence has completed 4 of 10 passes for 3 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Here's a look at all of those plays.

Coen deploys well-designed pass concepts near the end zone. With a clever playcaller, a cerebral, strong-armed quarterback, and a multitude of juiced-up pass-catchers, the Jaguars will likely continue to pass the ball at a high rate when the field gets condensed.

Perhaps the trend gets bucked on Sunday, though.